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San Diego Housing Market: Myth vs. Reality (May 29, 2025)

Don’t fall for the headlines—here’s what’s really happening.

In today’s market, negative social media narratives often drown out the facts. Let’s bust some common myths:

MYTH: The market is flooded with homes.

REALITY: Inventory has grown—but it’s still far below pre-2019 or Great Recession levels. Low supply continues to support pricing stability.

MYTH: Prices are about to crash.

REALITY: Pricing may flatten or dip slightly, but thanks to strong homeowner equity, low foreclosure risk, and qualified buyers, a crash isn’t coming.

MYTH: No one is selling due to low mortgage rates.

REALITY: More sellers are listing now than in the past two years, despite higher rates. San Diego saw 49% more homes for sale than in 2023.

MYTH: Waiting will get you a better deal.

REALITY: Timing the market rarely works. When rates dip, demand spikes—and bidding wars return. Buying now can give you leverage with motivated sellers. Just Listed Homes

Important Buyer Note:

If you don’t plan to own your home for at least 3 years, now may not be the right time to buy. With prices flattening and inventory rising, short-term ownership may not offer much upside. Data from Steven Thomas, Reports on Housing.

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San Diego County Housing Summary


What’s Your Home Worth?


San Diego County Housing Summary

 
  • INVENTORY: The active listing inventory in the past couple of weeks increased by 201 homes, up 3%, and now sits at 6,069, its highest level since November 2019. Last year, there were 3,915 homes on the market, 2,154 fewer homes, or 35% less. The 3-year average before COVID (2017-2019) was 6,695, which is 10% higher. From January through May, 24% fewer homes came on the market compared to the 3-year average before COVID (2017-2019), 5,636 less. Yet, 2,819 more sellers came on the market this year than last, and 5,658 more compared to 2023.
     
  • DEMAND: Buyer demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, decreased from 1,884 to 1,835, down 49 pending sales, or 3%. Last year, there were 1,927 pending sales, 5% more. The 3-year average before COVID (2017-2019) was 3,501, which is 91% higher.
     
  • MARKET TIME: With supply continuing to rise and demand falling, the Expected Market Time, the number of days to sell all San Diego County listings at the current buying pace, increased from 93 to 99 days in the past couple of weeks. Last year, it was 61 days, substantially faster than today. The 3-year average before COVID (2017-2019) was 58 days, which is also significantly faster than today.
     
  • LUXURY: In the past two weeks, the Expected Market Time for homes priced between $2 million and $4 million increased from 133 to 137 days. For homes priced between $4 million and $6 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 308 to 239 days. For homes priced above $6 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 633 to 494 days.
     
  • DISTRESSED HOMES: Short sales and foreclosures combined, comprised only 0.5% of all listings and 0.8% of demand. Only 14 foreclosures and 19 short sales are available today in San Diego County, with a total of 33 distressed homes on the active market, up five from two weeks ago. Last year, 11 distressed homes were on the market, similar to today.
     
  • CLOSED SALES: There were 2,248 closed residential resales in April, up 7% compared to April 2024’s 2,095 and up 21% from March 2025. The sales-to-list price ratio was 99.1% for San Diego County. Foreclosures accounted for 0.3% of all closed sales, and short sales accounted for 0.1% of all closed sales. That means that 99.6% of all sales were sellers with equity.
 
Copyright 2025—Steven Thomas, Reports On Housing—All Rights Reserved. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without express written permission from the author.
 

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In This Issue:

  1. The Biggest Mistakes Homebuyers Make - Homebuyers, especially first-timers, often fall into avoidable traps that can derail their purchase or lead to regret.

  2. How To Make Your Home Stand Out Online - Today's buyers shop online first, so your home's digital presence needs to shine.

  3. Going Green What You Need to Know About Energy Efficient Homes - Energy-efficient homes are no longer just a trend-they're a smart investment for both buyers and sellers.



The Biggest Mistakes Homebuyers Make



Summary

Homebuyers, especially first-timers, often fall into avoidable traps that can derail their purchase or lead to regret. This guide outlines the most frequent and costly mistakes buyers make, from skipping pre-approval to misjudging hidden costs. It not only highlights these issues but also explains how to avoid them with practical, expert-backed solutions. Whether you're new to the market or have bought before, this report is your safety net.



Buying a home is one of the most exciting and stressful financial decisions you'll ever make. It's a journey that combines emotion, logic, risk, and reward. Unfortunately, it's also a journey where mistakes are common and expensive. Whether you're a first-time buyer or returning to the market after several years, understanding the most common pitfalls can save you time, money, and future regret.

Home Selling Home Selling

Mistake #1: Skipping Mortgage Pre-Approval

One of the most fundamental errors buyers make is jumping into house hunting without knowing what they can truly afford. Without a mortgage pre-approval, you risk falling in love with homes outside your price range or missing out in a competitive bidding war. Pre-approval helps clarify your budget, boosts your credibility with sellers, and makes your offer stronger. Avoid the mistake by consulting a lender early, checking your credit score, and gathering necessary financial documents before your search begins.

Mistake #2: Not Budgeting Beyond the Down Payment

Many buyers are prepared to put down 5–20% of the purchase price but forget about closing costs, moving expenses, property taxes, and home maintenance. These additional costs can add thousands of dollars to your first year of ownership. Smart buyers plan for these expenses in advance, often allocating an extra 2–5% of the purchase price to cover these surprises. Additionally, be sure to leave some financial buffer for unexpected repairs.

Mistake #3: Ignoring Location for Features

It's easy to get swept up in granite countertops and double vanities, but remember that location impacts long-term value more than finishes do. Buyers who prioritize cosmetic appeal over a great neighborhood often end up regretting their decision when commute times, school districts, or resale value don't match expectations. Always balance the quality of the home with the quality of its surroundings and never compromise on location without serious thought.

Mistake #4: Failing to Understand the Market

Real estate markets vary dramatically between regions and even neighborhoods. In a seller's market, waiting too long to make an offer could cost you the home. In a buyer's market, rushing in may mean overpaying. Too many buyers enter the process without understanding supply, demand, average days on market, or list-to-sale price ratios. The solution? Do your homework or work with a trusted local agent who knows the dynamics and can help you strategize.

Mistake #5: Skipping the Home Inspection

In competitive markets, buyers are sometimes tempted to waive inspections to make their offers more appealing. But skipping a home inspection is one of the riskiest decisions a buyer can make. Inspections often reveal critical issues, from roof damage to faulty wiring that isn't visible during a walkthrough. Even if you must waive the inspection contingency, consider getting an informational inspection before closing so you at least know what you're buying.

Mistake #6: Letting Emotions Take the Wheel

It's common to become emotionally attached to a particular home. But letting your feelings override your financial logic can be dangerous. Bidding wars, clever staging, or personal nostalgia can push you into decisions that don't align with your long-term needs. Stay grounded by defining your "must-haves" vs. "nice-to-haves," and lean on a trusted advisor to help you think objectively during negotiations.

Mistake #7: Not Comparing Lenders and Loan Options

Not all mortgages are created equal. Some buyers take the first offer they receive without exploring options for better rates or terms. Interest rates, points, and fees vary widely between lenders, and even a small difference in rate can add up to thousands over the life of a loan. Shop around, ask questions, and request Loan Estimates to compare offers side by side.

Mistake #8: Misunderstanding the Purchase Contract

A purchase agreement is a legally binding contract and misunderstanding it can have serious consequences. Buyers sometimes overlook financing contingencies, deadlines, or seller responsibilities, leading to confusion, delays, or even loss of deposit. Always read the contract carefully and ask your agent or attorney to clarify any language you don't understand.

Mistake #9: Not Planning for the Long Term

Your needs today may change in the next 5–10 years. Buyers who don't consider life changes like growing families, job relocations, or aging in place often find themselves needing to sell or renovate too soon. While no one can predict the future, considering flexibility and future resale potential in your purchase decisions will better protect your investment.

Mistake #10: Going It Alone

Trying to navigate the buying process without expert guidance can lead to missed opportunities and hidden risks. A good real estate agent not only provides access to listings but also negotiates on your behalf, explains complex documents, and connects you to trusted service providers. Partnering with a professional can make the difference between a stressful transaction and a smooth experience.

Buying a home doesn't have to be overwhelming or filled with regret. By learning from the missteps of others and taking a proactive, informed approach, you can avoid the biggest traps in the process. With the right knowledge and the right support, you'll be on your way to a successful, confident purchase and a home you'll love for years to come.



How To Make Your Home Stand Out Online



Summary

Today's buyers shop online first, so your home's digital presence needs to shine. From stunning photography to powerful listing descriptions, this guide shows sellers how to make their home irresistible at first glance. Learn what works, what doesn't, and how to make a strong impression before buyers ever step through the door.



The vast majority of homebuyers start their search online, scrolling through listings on their phone, tablet, or desktop. In those few seconds of browsing, they decide whether to click, save, or move on. That's why your online listing needs to stop them in their tracks.

Home Selling Home Selling

Here's how to stand out and get more showings, faster.

1. Professional Photography Is Non-Negotiable
The first image is your first impression. Amateur photos with poor lighting, bad angles, or clutter can ruin interest instantly. A pro photographer:

  • Knows how to frame each room

  • Uses wide-angle lenses and HDR editing

  • Captures the home at the best time of day

  • Highlights natural light, space, and flow

The first image is your first impression. Amateur photos with poor lighting, bad angles, or clutter can ruin interest instantly.

2. Stage for the Camera
What looks good in person doesn't always photograph well. For pictures:

  • Declutter aggressively

  • Remove personal items (photos, magnets, niche décor)

  • Keep counters, beds, and floors clear

  • Turn on every light and open blinds

Virtual staging is an option for empty homes, but real furniture shows better in person.

3. Write a Headline That Hooks

  • "Sunlit Family Home with Private Backyard Oasis"

  • "Modern Open Concept Living Near Top Schools"

Use emotion, benefits, and lifestyle to draw buyers in. "3 Bed, 2 Bath in Quiet Area" won't stop a buyer's scroll.

4. Tell a Story in the Description
Avoid generic real estate jargon. Instead:

  • Highlight what makes your home unique

  • Focus on benefits: "walk to shops," "perfect for entertaining," "morning sun in the kitchen"

  • Be concise, but paint a picture buyers can imagine themselves in

5. Use Every Photo Slot-Strategically
Most listing sites allow 25–40 images. Use them all, but prioritize order:

  • Start with the best shot (usually the front or living space)

  • Use a logical flow: front, entry, living, kitchen, bedrooms, baths, yard

  • Include exterior shots in daylight and twilight

Most listing sites allow 25–40 images. Use them all, but prioritize order.

6. Add Video or 3D Tours
Buyers want to explore before visiting. A video walk-through or Matterport 3D tour can:

  • Increase engagement and showing requests

  • Attract out-of-town or relocating buyers

  • Help buyers picture the flow of the home

Buyers want to explore before visiting. A video walk-through or Matterport 3D tour can make a big difference.

7. Market Beyond the MLS
Your agent should share the listing on:

  • Social media (Facebook, Instagram, YouTube)

  • Targeted ad campaigns (Google, social, retargeting)

  • Real estate platforms (Realtor.com, Zillow, Redfin, etc.)

  • Email newsletters or buyer blasts

Your agent should share the listing across multiple channels.

8. Use Captions and Floor Plans
Add short captions to photos: "Spacious primary suite with walk-in closet." Include a floor plan if possible, as many buyers are visual and want to see layout and flow.

9. Keep It Updated
If your listing has been sitting:

  • Change up the featured image

  • Rewrite the headline or summary

  • Add seasonal photos or updates (e.g., "new A/C installed")

Fresh listings draw renewed interest, even from past browsers.

You only get one chance to make a first impression and today, that impression is online. With professional visuals, compelling descriptions, and a smart marketing plan, your listing can shine in a sea of homes. The result? More clicks, more showings, and a faster, better sale.



Going Green What You Need to Know About Energy Efficient Homes



Summary

Energy-efficient homes are no longer just a trend-they're a smart investment for both buyers and sellers. From savings on bills to increased resale value, going green pays off. This report breaks down what makes a home energy-efficient, how to identify or upgrade key features, and why eco-conscious living is influencing modern real estate decisions.



As climate awareness grows and energy costs rise, buyers are looking for homes that are not only beautiful-but also efficient. Whether you're a buyer hunting for long-term savings or a seller trying to make your home stand out, understanding what qualifies as "green" and why it matters can give you a major edge.

Home Selling Home Selling

What Is an Energy-Efficient Home?
An energy-efficient home uses less power to heat, cool, and operate daily systems-without sacrificing comfort. Key elements include:

  • High-efficiency HVAC systems

  • Smart thermostats

  • Insulated windows and doors

  • Proper attic and wall insulation

  • LED lighting and Energy Star appliances

  • Solar panels or alternative energy systems

Why Buyers Care

  1. Lower Utility Bills – Efficient homes reduce monthly expenses, especially in extreme climates.

  2. Comfort – Better insulation and systems mean consistent temperature and airflow.

  3. Resale Value – Buyers know green upgrades can boost future resale prices.

  4. Environmental Impact – Today's buyers want to minimize their carbon footprint.

Why Sellers Should Care

  • Stronger Marketing Appeal – Green features can attract eco-conscious buyers.

  • Higher Appraisals – Energy-efficient upgrades often increase appraised value.

  • Faster Sales – Homes with sustainable upgrades can stand out in crowded markets.

  • Rebates and Incentives – Many regions offer credits for adding energy-saving improvements before listing.

Green Certifications to Know

  • ENERGY STAR – Government-backed label for energy-saving appliances and systems.

  • LEED Certification – Indicates a home is built or remodeled to strict environmental standards.

  • HERS Score – Measures a home's energy efficiency; lower scores mean greater efficiency.

  • Net-Zero – A home that produces as much energy as it consumes.

Simple Upgrades That Make a Difference
Even small improvements can deliver big returns:

  • Install a smart thermostat

  • Replace old windows with double-pane glass

  • Seal ductwork and add insulation

  • Upgrade to energy-efficient lighting and appliances

Questions Buyers Should Ask

  • What's the age and SEER rating of the HVAC system?

  • What's the average monthly utility cost?

  • Are there any energy assessments or certifications?

  • Is there solar installed-and if so, is it leased or owned?

Questions Sellers Should Prepare For

  • Can you provide recent energy bills?

  • Are warranties available on systems or upgrades?

  • Are any local rebates transferable to the buyer?

  • Has the home had a professional energy audit?

Financing Green Features
Some buyers use special loan programs that factor energy efficiency into affordability, such as:

  • Energy-Efficient Mortgages (EEMs)

  • Fannie Mae's HomeStyle Energy Program

  • Green Home Grants or Incentives

Ask your lender or agent if these are available in your region.

Energy efficiency isn't just a buzzword-it's a real advantage in today's real estate market. Buyers love the savings and comfort, and sellers can use eco-friendly upgrades as powerful selling points. Whether you're going green slowly or aiming for net-zero, understanding energy-smart homes helps you make better real estate decisions.



San Diego County Housing Report: Go for Gold, No Waiting


Strongest Cash Offer

San Diego County Housing Report: Go for Gold – Don’t Wait 

August 6, 2024
Mortgage Rates have plunged from 7.5 to 6.52% today, opening up a window of opportunity for buyers who should not wait.

 
A Window of Opportunity
Since rates have dropped in anticipation of future Federal Reserve rate cuts, now is the ideal time, and waiting will prove to be the incorrect strategy.
 
Olympic gold medal winners perfect their game plans and execute precise timing and strategy to succeed. On the track, many runners wait too long for their final push and cross the finish line out of medal contention. The commentators exclaim that they “should have gone sooner.” The athletes are left second-guessing themselves, wishing they had not waited.

Get a free copy of this report.
 
Many buyers have been sitting on the sidelines, waiting for rates to come down. Now that rates have plummeted from 7.5% in April to 6.52% today, according to Mortgage News Daily, many buyers wonder if they should pull the trigger and purchase now or wait for rates to fall further. Sitting on the fence and waiting will prove to be the incorrect strategy, leaving many to wish that they had bought sooner.
 
Long-term, 30-year mortgage rates move ahead of the Federal Reserve Rate cuts. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has not cut rates once since the historical increases from 2022 through 2023, yet mortgage rates have moved all over the place, even eclipsing 8% last October. The movement is based on where investors believe the direction that the Fed’s short-term Federal Funds rate policy will move.

With inflation continuing to ease, the job market cooling, and unemployment rising, it is becoming increasingly clear that the FED is too restrictive, and they will need to cut rates when they meet in mid-September. As a result, in less than two weeks, mortgage rates have plunged from 6.91% to 6.52% today. September’s rate cut, currently projected to be a 0.5% snip by Wall Street, is already baked into today’s mortgage rates. When they do trim the Federal Funds rate in September, do NOT expect mortgage rates to drop another 0.5%. This is where buyers sitting on the sidelines are mistaken. They hear that the Fed will cut, but the headlines and news refer to the short-term Federal Funds rate, not long-term mortgage rates. When they do cut, expect credit card, automobile, and equity lines of credit rates to all drop, which are all tied to the Federal Funds rate, but NOT long-term rates utilized in purchasing homes.

Sincerely,
Steven Thomas
Quantitative Economics and Decision Sciences
 Copyright 2024—Steven Thomas, Reports On Housing—All Rights Reserved. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without express written permission from the author. Our report license allows us to distribute to consumers, not other licensees or affiliates, title escrow, and mortgage.